The Broadway Critic’s Tony Award Predictions

Here are my 2010 Tony Award predictions.

Granted, I didn’t see every play (I actually didn’t see most of them – only Time Stands Still), nor every musical (missed Ragtime, Million Dollar Quartet, La Cage aux Folles and Promises, Promises) but saw quite a few on this list. I also don’t agree with all of the nominations. I definitely feel like Michael Mayer, the director of American Idiot was snubbed, as well as Steven Hoggett, the choreographer of American Idiot. The other glaring misstep is the lack of a nomination for the orchestrations of American Idiot. Obviously, I feel that American Idiot is just as worthy, if not more, than Fela! Both have weak books and are very similar in their presentation. Why then, does the Tony Awards support one over the other? It seems like a major contradiction.

I also think that there are a few shows that are being nominated because there are no other options. Memphis and Addams Family were both nominated for Best Score and frankly, I don’t think either of them should even be nominated, especially in comparison to last year’s winner: Next to Normal.

So, for what it’s worth, here is what I think. And, if you can’t tell, I’ve very undecided on who I think is actually going to win the Tony Award! There is quite the competition in some categories and then no competition in others.

RED: Who I think should win

* – Who will probably win (if there’s two, that means I’m not sure)

Best Play

In the Next Room or the Vibrator Play
Next Fall*
Red
Time Stands Still

Best Musical
American Idiot*
Fela!*
Memphis
Million Dollar Quartet

Best Book of a Musical
Everyday Rapture*
Fela!*
Memphis
Million Dollar Quartet

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
The Addams Family
Enron*
Fences
Memphis

Best Revival of a Play
Fences*
Lend Me a Tenor
The Royal Family
A View from the Bridge

Best Revival of a Musical
Finian’s Rainbow
La Cage aux Folles*
A Little Night Music*
Ragtime

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play
Jude Law, Hamlet
Alfred Molina, Red
Liev Schreiber, A View from the Bridge
Christopher Walken, A Behanding in Spokane
Denzel Washington, Fences*

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play
Viola Davis, Fences
Valerie Harper, Looped
Linda Lavin, Collected Stories
Laura Linney, Time Stands Still*
Jan Maxwell, The Royal Family

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical
Kelsey Grammer, La Cage aux Folles
Sean Hayes, Promises, Promises
Douglas Hodge, La Cage aux Folles*
Chad Kimball, Memphis
Sahr Ngaujah, Fela!*

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical
Kate Baldwin, Finian’s Rainbow
Montego Glover, Memphis
Christiane Noll, Ragtime
Sherie Rene Scott, Everyday Rapture*
Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music*

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play

David Alan Grier, Race
Stephen McKinley Henderson, Fences
Jon Michael Hill, Superior Donuts
Stephen Kunken, Enron
Eddie Redmayne, Red

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play
Maria Dizzia, In the Next Room or the Vibrator Play
Rosemary Harris, The Royal Family
Jessica Hecht, A View from the Bridge
Scarlett Johansson, A View from the Bridge
Jan Maxwell, Lend Me a Tenor

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical
Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family
Robin De Jesús, La Cage aux Folles
Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian’s Rainbow
Levi Kreis, Million Dollar Quartet
Bobby Steggert, Ragtime*

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical
Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim
Katie Finneran, Promises, Promises
Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music*
Karine Plantadit, Come Fly Away
Lillias White, Fela!

Best Scenic Design of a Play
John Lee Beatty, The Royal Family
Alexander Dodge, Present Laughter
Santo Loquasto, Fences
Christopher Oram, Red

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Marina Draghici, Fela!
Christine Jones, American Idiot*
Derek McLane, Ragtime
Tim Shortall, La Cage aux Folles

Best Costume Design of a Play
Martin Pakledinaz, Lend Me a Tenor
Constanza Romero, Fences
David Zinn, In the Next Room or the Vibrator Play
Catherine Zuber, The Royal Family

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Marina Draghici, Fela!*
Santo Loquasto, Ragtime*
Paul Tazewell, Memphis
Matthew Wright, La Cage aux Folles

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Neil Austin, Hamlet
Neil Austin, Red
Mark Henderson, Enron
Brian MacDevitt, Fences

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Kevin Adams, American Idiot*
Donald Holder, Ragtime
Nick Richings, La Cage aux Folles
Robert Wierzel, Fela!*

Best Sound Design of a Play
Acme Sound Partners, Fences
Adam Cork, Enron
Adam Cork, Red
Scott Lehrer, A View from the Bridge

Best Sound Design of a Musical
Jonathan Deans, La Cage aux Folles
Robert Kaplowitz, Fela!*
Dan Moses Schreier and Gareth Owen, A Little Night Music*
Dan Moses Schreier, Sondheim on Sondheim

Best Direction of a Play
Michael Grandage, Red
Sheryl Kaller, Next Fall
Kenny Leon, Fences
Gregory Mosher, A View from the Bridge

Best Direction of a Musical
Christopher Ashley, Memphis
Marcia Milgrom Dodge, Ragtime*
Terry Johnson, La Cage aux Folles
Bill T. Jones, Fela!*

Best Choreography
Rob Ashford, Promises, Promises
Bill T. Jones, Fela!*
Lynne Page, La Cage aux Folles
Twyla Tharp, Come Fly Away*

Best Orchestrations
Jason Carr, La Cage aux Folles*
Aaron Johnson, Fela!
Jonathan Tunick, Promises, Promises*
Daryl Waters & David Bryan, Memphis

Tony Nominations by Production
Fela! – 11
La Cage aux Folles – 11
Fences – 10
Memphis – 8
Ragtime – 7
Red – 7
A View from the Bridge – 6
The Royal Family – 5
Enron – 4
A Little Night Music – 4
Promises, Promises – 4
American Idiot – 3
Finian’s Rainbow – 3
In the Next Room or the Vibrator Play – 3
Lend Me a Tenor – 3
Million Dollar Quartet – 3
The Addams Family – 2
Come Fly Away – 2
Everyday Rapture – 2
Hamlet – 2
Next Fall – 2
Sondheim on Sondheim – 2
Time Stands Still – 2
A Behanding in Spokane – 1
Collected Stories – 1
Looped – 1
Present Laughter – 1
Race – 1
Superior Donuts – 1

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5 thoughts on “The Broadway Critic’s Tony Award Predictions

  1. Interesting comments on SOB’s blog – but I didn’t think “Fela!” was any more compelling – nor did I “learn” very much about Fela or his character except about his relationship with this mother. I learned more about Fela reading the reviews AFTER I had seen the show, than during the show.

    I had a great time at both. I do, however, like “American Idiot’s” music better – just in general – and was mesmerized the ENTIRE show. Tom Kitt’s arrangements are genius and the choreography/energy of the cast is contagious and infectious.

    I related a thousand more times to “American Idiot” then “Fela!” — but still don’t understand the Tony boards decision – to me there are so similar.

    And yes, Tom Kitt was totally snubbed today. 😦

  2. I totally agree with you. I didn’t learn much about Fela Kuti during the show and I think the book is the weakest part of both Fela! and American Idiot. I have a personal preference for the music of American Idiot as well and was also mesmerized the entire show, whereas Fela! felt a little long to me. I do think Fela! is deserving of its nominations (except book), but I think American Idiot deserved more nominations than it received.

  3. Tony Award Picks:

    Best Play

    In the Next Room or the Vibrator Play
    Next Fall (SHOULD WIN)
    Red (WILL WIN)
    Time Stands Still

    Best Musical
    American Idiot (SHOULD WIN)
    Fela! (NOT A MUSICAL)
    Memphis (WILL WIN)
    Million Dollar Quartet

    Best Book of a Musical
    Everyday Rapture (SHOULD WIN)
    Fela!
    Memphis (WILL WIN)
    Million Dollar Quartet

    Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
    The Addams Family
    Enron
    Fences
    Memphis (WILL WIN)

    Best Revival of a Play
    Fences (Will Win/Should Win)
    Lend Me a Tenor
    The Royal Family
    A View from the Bridge

    Best Revival of a Musical
    Finian’s Rainbow
    La Cage aux Folles (WILL WIN)
    A Little Night Music
    Ragtime (SHOULD WIN)

    Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play
    Jude Law, Hamlet
    Alfred Molina, Red (WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN)
    Liev Schreiber, A View from the Bridge
    Christopher Walken, A Behanding in Spokane
    Denzel Washington, Fences

    Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play
    Viola Davis, Fences (WILL WIN/SHOULD WIN)
    Valerie Harper, Looped
    Linda Lavin, Collected Stories
    Laura Linney, Time Stands Still
    Jan Maxwell, The Royal Family

    Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical
    Kelsey Grammer, La Cage aux Folles
    Sean Hayes, Promises, Promises
    Douglas Hodge, La Cage aux Folles (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
    Chad Kimball, Memphis
    Sahr Ngaujah, Fela!

    Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical
    Kate Baldwin, Finian’s Rainbow
    Montego Glover, Memphis
    Christiane Noll, Ragtim
    Sherie Rene Scott, Everyday Rapture* (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
    Catherine Zeta-Jones, A Little Night Music

    Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play

    David Alan Grier, Race
    Stephen McKinley Henderson, Fences
    Jon Michael Hill, Superior Donuts
    Stephen Kunken, Enron
    Eddie Redmayne, Red (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

    Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play
    Maria Dizzia, In the Next Room or the Vibrator Play
    Rosemary Harris, The Royal Family
    Jessica Hecht, A View from the Bridge
    Scarlett Johansson, A View from the Bridge (WILL WIN)
    Jan Maxwell, Lend Me a Tenor (SHOULD WIN)

    Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical
    Kevin Chamberlin, The Addams Family
    Robin De Jesús, La Cage aux Folles
    Christopher Fitzgerald, Finian’s Rainbow
    Levi Kreis, Million Dollar Quartet (WILL WIN)
    Bobby Steggert, Ragtime*
    (TOSS UP/WEEEAK CATEGORY)

    Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical
    Barbara Cook, Sondheim on Sondheim
    Katie Finneran, Promises, Promises (WILL WIN)
    Angela Lansbury, A Little Night Music (SHOULD WIN)
    Karine Plantadit, Come Fly Away
    Lillias White, Fela!

    Best Scenic Design of a Musical
    Marina Draghici, Fela!
    Christine Jones, American Idiot
    Derek McLane, Ragtime (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
    Tim Shortall, La Cage aux Folles

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